Sunday, February 20, 2011

Even though continuous promises to deliver a spring forecast for Canada and Europe that didn't happen,
I assure you that you will not be disappointed with the forecast when it comes out.
With all new data and excellent information, this forecast will be the best one.
The time spent waiting will be worth it.
Remember: the date of release is March 1st.

'The Weather Centre' is top Google result

Thanks to you, the search 'The Weather Centre' has the following rankings in search engines as of February 20, 2011:

-Google: 1st spot
-Bing: 3rd spot
-Yahoo: 3rd spot
-Ask.com: 13th spot

(NOTE: Bing and Yahoo give the same results.)

As of February 27, 2011:
-Google: 1st spot (No change)
-Bing: 2nd spot (+1 spot)
-Yahoo: 2nd spot (+1 spot)
-Ask.com: 14th spot (-1 spot)

Substantial Severe Threat (2/25)


There is a potential for severe weather on February 25th, 2011.
The SPC highlights the potential for active weather throughout this period.
...DISCUSSION...    AN ACTIVE PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE POTENTIAL    FOR A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK ON THU/D5.        ON WED/D4...MODEL CONSENSUS HAS A BROAD BELT OF SWLY FLOW ALOFT FROM    NRN MEXICO ACROSS THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S...AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH    AXIS THAT IS FORECAST TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE BAJA CA/SRN CA    COAST WED MORNING. WELL AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE    WILL BEGIN TO STREAM NWD OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO AS A LARGE SURFACE    HIGH OVER THE ERN STATES GRADUALLY SHIFTS OFFSHORE.        BY THU MORNING...A SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO BE SOMEWHERE ACROSS    NWRN TX OR CNTRL OK WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS AS HIGH AS 60F UP    TO THE LOW CENTER....AND UP TO A WARM FRONT THAT WILL EXTEND EWD    ACROSS NRN OK/AR OR PERHAPS SRN MO. A SURFACE LOW AND POTENT UPPER    LEVEL JET STREAK WILL THEN CONTINUE EWD ACROSS THE LOWER MS AND INTO    THE TN/OH VALLEYS BY 00Z.        UPPER LEVEL COOLING AND A PLUME OF STEEP DEEP LAYER LAPSE RATES WILL    OVERSPREAD THE WARM SECTOR...CREATING A VERY UNSTABLE SITUATION.    ALTHOUGH THE EXACT GEOMETRY OF THE TROUGH MAY NOT BE WELL HANDLED    THIS FAR IN ADVANCE...THE CURRENT MODEL DEPICTION WOULD INDICATE THE    POTENTIAL FOR NUMEROUS SUPERCELLS ALONG THE DRYLINE/COLD    FRONT...RATHER THAN A MORE LINEAR STORM MODE. IN THIS SCENARIO...A    SUBSTANTIAL TORNADO THREAT COULD MATERIALIZE BY AFTERNOON AND    EVENING.  
BY FRI/D6...A SEVERE THREAT OF SOME FORM MAY REMAIN ALONG THE COLD FRONT...AS IT APPROACHES THE ERN SEABOARD...BUT TIMING OF THE FRONT AND PREDICTABILITY BECOME TOO LOW FOR ANY ADDITIONAL SEVERE AREAS."

Below is The Weather Centre's depiction of what could happen in this situation of a 
severe weather outbreak.

Mesoscale Discussion #111

Low pressure moving east at this time. Warm front extended east of low pressure is rain/snow line. High freezing rain rates are possible as main low pressure moves east.
With freezing rain rates this high, ice glazing over surfaces appears possible/likely in the area outlined.
Further Analysis: Possible

Winter is ending.

With the snow gone and a substantial severe threat next week, it's about time to start to shut down the winter forecast pages.
I hope you liked them.
If there is anything I can fix, please let me know.